Some fantasy owners strongly believe in the curse of the “Sophomore Slump”. Judging by the title of this article, you can see I’m not one of those owners. If you do believe in the Sophomore Slump, you can stop reading here because you won’t like what I’m about to say.
Currently as I sit here and write this article, Alfred Morris is the 9th drafted running back on Yahoo! Sports based on average draft position (ADP) of 12.7. The backs ahead of him consist of the big 3 (Adrian Peterson, Arian Foster, and Doug Martin), C.J. Spiller, Jamaal Charles, Marshawn Lynch, Ray Rice, and LeSean McCoy. I’ll be honest, I’m not a fan of C.J. Spiller in a standard scoring league at a Yahoo ADP of 5.7. He had a fantastic season last year, but I sense E.J. Manuel is going to take some time to get accustom to NFL defenses and they will just zone in on Spiller.
While many fantasy owners will look at the title of this article and think to themselves, “no way, Alfred Morris isn’t a top 5 running back”, let me show you why. Let’s look at the chart below with Morris’ rushing attempts (rush att) and fantasy points by week;
Alfred Morris’ Rush Attempts and Fantasy Points by Week (Standard Scoring)
|Week||Rush Att||Fantasy Points|
You can see by the chart that Morris was one of the most consistent running backs over the course of last season. He finished the season off strong and showed he can carry a full workload. When Morris had 20+ carries last season, he averaged 17.6 fantasy points per game. After the Washington Redskins week 10 bye, he recorded 20+ carries in all 7 games. The 17.6 fantasy points per game is inflated a little bit by Alfred’s monstrous 200 rush yards and 3 TD week 17 game vs. the Dallas Cowboys, but even taking this game out he still averaged 15.2 fantasy points per game.
While you can make an argument for the other top 8 running backs in this 2013 fantasy football season, I’d take Alfred Morris as the 5th best running back behind Peterson, Foster, Martin, and Lynch this year. It’s a long ways away and call me crazy, but the Redskins should be fighting for a playoff spot just like last season and Morris should be a major contributor to our fantasy football playoff teams.
Do you think Alfred Morris is a top 5 running back this season?